I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Step 4. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Step 2. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Which one's bigger? That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Suitcases checked and standing side by side. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. But let's think about this some more. But lets make it longer. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? But on all probability it would. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Its maddening to see people worry so much. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). That's 150,000 generations. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Thats a ridiculously huge number. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. You get the volume of planet Earth. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. Dr. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Then the probability of Mr. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Is that an African fly or a European one? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. This includes personalizing content and advertising. So far, so good. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Step 4. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. This button displays the currently selected search type. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Thank you, Monsignor. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. 7 distinct works Similar authors. Are they gross exaggerations? it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Even if they couldn't read them yet. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Which one's bigger? alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Why? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation."
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